Demand
In 2Q13, sluggish leasing in operational stock contributed to net absorption recording a negative result. Moments Mall in the Prime Others submarket underwent a re-branding and repositioning initiative which resulted in negative net absorption in the submarket, despite a new mall completing with a high pre-commitment rate.
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Tenant repositioning by mall operators and lease expirations also resulted in negative take-up in the Prime South. The Suburbs recorded positive net absorption on account of moderate leasing in existing stock and pre-commitment in a new completion. Overall take-up was at a 32 quarter low and as a result, overall vacancy rose by 140 bps q-o-q to 25.3 percent at end-2Q13.
Within the Prime South, Burberry Brit and Croma each leased 5,000 sq ft in Select Citywalk, while Sephora leased 5000 sq ft in DLF Promenade and Michael Kors leased 2,000 sq ft in DLF Emporio in Vasant Kunj. House of Technology leased 40,000 sq ft in the newly completed TDI Town Square and Jumbo Electronics leased 3,000 sq ft in Pacific Mall, both in the Prime Others submarket.
The Suburbs submarket saw Wee Store and Dwar's Open World each lease 3,000 sq ft in MGF Metropolis in Gurgaon. Premier Fitness Club and Spa leased 8,000 sq ft in Shopprix Mall in Noida, while Bed-n-Bath Studio leased 2,500 sq ft in Pacific Mall in Ghaziabad.
Supply
Two completions were recorded in 2Q13 I Mall (300,000 sq ft) in the Greater Noida precinct in the Suburbs submarket and TDI Town Square (100,000 sq ft) in Nehru Place in the Prime Others.
Asset Performance
Average rents rose by less than 1% q-o-q in both the Prime South and Prime Others submarkets. With prime operational malls being favoured by retailers, mall management of such shopping centres quoted higher asking rents. Capital value growth followed a similar trend to rents, rising less than 1% q-o-q in most submarkets.
12-Month Outlook
With domestic consumption expected to remain resilient, retailers are likely to continue chasing deals in under-construction projects that offer good design, branding and professional management. Upcoming completions in precincts with low organised retail penetration have seen healthy pre-commitments and are likely to contribute towards net absorption in the coming quarters. Sustained retailer interest in the Prime South submarket and an active churn may cause rents to rise.
An increase in the amount of occupied stock may spur rent increments in the other submarkets, but at a slower pace. Capital values may show slightly higher growth compared to rents, possibly leading to further yield compression in the retail market.
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